自然资源成十亿穷人救命稻草 灾难光明一线之间

中国网6月29日讯 据英国《新政客》杂志28日报道,英国石油公司在美国墨西哥湾造成的环境危机,赤裸裸地向人们展示了掠夺自然资源可能带来的伤害。但是如果善用这些自然资 源,全球十亿处于底层的穷人将因此受益。

虽然全球经济空前繁荣,但仍有10亿人口被甩在了发展的行列之外,沦为全球经济社会中最底层的10亿人,而这其中有70%居住在撒哈拉以南的非 洲国家,这些国家的经济长期陷入停顿或衰退,而且至今看不到改变的希望。这些人和这些国家对传统的经济发展模式提出了严峻的挑战,也构成了世界不稳定的因 素。 而在这些最贫穷的国度,拥有自然资源就是一笔巨额财富。比如阿富汗,美国通过航空探矿技术已经发现,这个国家至少隐藏着价值一万亿美元的矿产资源,如果利 用得当,这笔财富足够帮助阿富汗实现繁荣,不仅可以改善阿富汗的安全、教育以及基础设施,普通人也将过起大方的生活。

在未来十年内,丰富的自然资源将成为世界上最贫困国家及其10亿最底层民众的救命稻草。但这些国家需要妥善把握自然资源带来的巨大机遇的同时, 也要谨慎应对随之而来的风险。中亚和非洲的资源采伐将是最后的国界线,随着全球日用品价格攀升和新探矿技术的应用,隐藏穷国领土之下的自然资产将被陆续发 现。这是否将导致环境退化、暴力劫掠或者帮助穷国摆脱贫困,主要取决于这些社会做出的选择。因为开采自然资源不仅风险高,而且也很复杂,甚至将引发连锁反 应。

开采自然资源的链条将以如何出售资源开采权开始。这里涉及三个技术性问题,包括相关机构问题(普通公民不能真正控制他们的代表,政治家以及官员 会做出最后决定)、信息不对称(矿物公司了解采矿权的价值,并尽可能地隐藏真实收益)以及时间矛盾(政府作出可信承诺,但采矿公司不信任这些协议)。 这个链条的第二个环节是如何避免发生尼日尔三角洲的灾难,必须通过管制和追究法律责任将危险最小化。不可避免的环境灾难通常都是昂贵的,应该完全赔付。采 矿公司通常以享受自然资产所有权诱惑当地人,这是非常危险的。公平使用自然资产的方式应该是令所有社会受益,而不仅仅是当地人。对于所有从采矿中受益的公 民来说,政府必须对他们进行课税,但是当前的征税系统没有满足这个条件。比如赞比亚每年出口价值30亿美元的铜,但国家的税收收入仅为一亿美元。为此,自 然资产所在国家必须重新设计相关征税系统。

第三个环节是,如何利用这些收入。自然资源总有耗尽的一天,因此依赖采矿获得的收入不可能永久持续下去。更重要地是,我们要给子孙后代留下一些 自然资产。但我们也不是自然资产的最后监管人,那将让环境保护主义与结束全球贫困相矛盾。

最后一个环节是如何保证这些收入不被耗光,它们应该投资于国内经济,而不仅仅是换成外汇。

Posted: 六月 30th, 2010
Categories: 自然
Tags:
Comments: 119 Comments.
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